Eurasianet.org highlights a report (PDF) by the International Crisis Group.
Armenia faces instability unless it takes quick steps to improve relations with its neighbors, and fosters the rule-of-law at home, according to a new study that examines the Caucasus nation’s political and economic prospects. The report, prepared by the International Crisis Group, urges Armenia to approach the Nagorno-Karabakh peace process “realistically.” It adds that President Robert Kocharian’s administration should “supplement economic success with robust democratization.”
The report focuses heavily on the Karabakh conflict. It calls for Yerevan to “reevaluate” its current negotiating stance.
The report indicates that achieving a Karabakh breakthrough will require a reevaluation of Yerevan’s current negotiating stance. “Despite rhetoric, Armenians acknowledge they share many experiences and interests with other Caucasian nations,” the report says. “They know the future can improve only if old relations with Azerbaijan - which means addressing the Nagorno-Karabakh issue realistically - and Georgia are renewed,” the report says.
Ominously, it says that events in Armenia may take a violent turn. What little economic progress has been made would be destroyed and foreign investment frightened away. OK, so we see what Armenia “must” do to break the impasse, but what about Azerbaijan?