Emil Danielyan writes on Eurasianet.org:
On August 27, the executive board of the opposition Justice alliance, headed by Demirchian, decided to continue the boycott during the next legislative session.
The alliance bloc’s key ally, the National Unity Party (AMK), is expected to follow suit. Justice and the AMK are the only opposition forces represented in Armenia’s National Assembly, holding 23 of its 131 seats.
Justice leaders complain that Kocharian’s administration has not met any of their
demands. “None of the reasons for our walkout from the National Assembly has been addressed,” one of them, Victor Dallakian, said, singling out the authorities’ refusal to hold a “referendum of confidence” in Kocharian.
Emil also notes that few believe the opposition can organise protests big enough to force Kocharian from office by so-called ‘people power’. Nonetheless, recently officials tightened rules for the holding of public gatherings. Those rules are grounded in a new Armenian law that Council of Europe legal experts believe violates European standards on freedom of assembly.
Kocharian may try and run for a third term, even though the constitution bars it, but if not, he will certainly be looking for a trusted lieutenant to take over. We may not have an Azeri-style dynasty in the making, but will this predictability in government lead to stable growth or growing despair?